May 1, 2019 / Modified may 1, 2019 5:12 p.m.

Forecast: More Fire Danger, Later Monsoon

While rains are expected later than usual, monsoon is always hard to predict.

Firefighters smoke 360 Wildland firefighters watch smoke from a wildfire.
Courtesy of Inciweb

LISTEN

Firefighters may be busier than usual in Southern Arizona this spring, according to a wildfire forecast issued Wednesday.

The forecast comes from the National Interagency Fire Center in Boise, the headquarters for U.S. wildfire efforts. It says Southern Arizona should expect above-average wildfire potential for May, June and July.

The western monsoon, which delivers lightning and brief, heavy rain, is expected to start later than average this year, in early August rather than mid-July, and remain centered on New Mexico, east of the continental divide. That means less rain to dampen the tinder-dry fuel in southern Arizona. But the eventual arrival of monsoon moisture will signal the end of the heaviest fire danger.

The forecast comes with a caveat that the monsoon is always hard to predict, especially this far in advance.

By posting comments, you agree to our
AZPM encourages comments, but comments that contain profanity, unrelated information, threats, libel, defamatory statements, obscenities, pornography or that violate the law are not allowed. Comments that promote commercial products or services are not allowed. Comments in violation of this policy will be removed. Continued posting of comments that violate this policy will result in the commenter being banned from the site.

By submitting your comments, you hereby give AZPM the right to post your comments and potentially use them in any other form of media operated by this institution.
Arizona Public Media broadcast stations are licensed to the Arizona Board of Regents. Arizona Public Media and AZPM are registered trademarks of the Arizona Board of Regents.
The University of Arizona