/ Modified jul 14, 2020 2:32 p.m.

Kelly continues to lead McSally in polls

Kelly's lead remains strong, but the gap has tightened.

Mcsally kelly Republican Martha McSally, left, and Democrat Mark Kelly.
Gage Skidmore/Flickr (CC BY-SA 2.0)

Sen. Martha McSally trails her Democratic opponent, Mark Kelly, by nine points in the latest poll from OH Predictive Insights. Three months ago, in the same poll, McSally was trailing Kelly by 13 points.

The issue for McSally is twofold according to the poll; she has not solidified her base and independent voters like Kelly.

“Only four in five Republicans say they would voter for her if the election were held today. Mark Kelly’s base is really strong among Democrats. When you look at those all-important independents in the middle, 2:1 they are breaking for Mark Kelly,” said Mike Noble, at OH Predictive Insights.

Noble said in most Arizona races, independents tend to lean towards the Republican candidate.

It should be noted, that McSally has Republican primary challengers so she may be able to consolidate her base moving toward the general election in November.

By posting comments, you agree to our
AZPM encourages comments, but comments that contain profanity, unrelated information, threats, libel, defamatory statements, obscenities, pornography or that violate the law are not allowed. Comments that promote commercial products or services are not allowed. Comments in violation of this policy will be removed. Continued posting of comments that violate this policy will result in the commenter being banned from the site.

By submitting your comments, you hereby give AZPM the right to post your comments and potentially use them in any other form of media operated by this institution.
Arizona Public Media broadcast stations are licensed to the Arizona Board of Regents. Arizona Public Media and AZPM are registered trademarks of the Arizona Board of Regents.
The University of Arizona