May 28, 2020

UA hurricane forecasters map summer season

The team has predicted 10 hurricanes for the North Atlantic, and drier summer for Southern Arizona.

Hurricane Forecast 2019's Hurricane Dorian.
NASA

University of Arizona hurricane forecasters are predicting a busy season for storms in the North Atlantic Ocean, and that translates into a drier summer for Southern Arizona.

UA atmospheric scientist Xubin Zeng expects 10 hurricanes and 19 named storms to form during the season, and when more storms are generating in the Atlantic, there are fewer brewing in the Pacific.

“That means there will be less hurricane activity over the eastern Pacific and the water vapor from hurricanes over the eastern Pacific does affect Tucson," he said.

Warmer sea temperatures are being credited for the number of hurricanes and tropical storms in the forecast.

Zeng and former UA graduate student Kyle Davis predict the Atlantic hurricane season each year. The accuracy of their annual model has been cited in two scientific papers. The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1 and lasts until November 30.

By posting comments, you agree to our
AZPM encourages comments, but comments that contain profanity, unrelated information, threats, libel, defamatory statements, obscenities, pornography or that violate the law are not allowed. Comments that promote commercial products or services are not allowed. Comments in violation of this policy will be removed. Continued posting of comments that violate this policy will result in the commenter being banned from the site.

By submitting your comments, you hereby give AZPM the right to post your comments and potentially use them in any other form of media operated by this institution.
Arizona Public Media broadcast stations are licensed to the Arizona Board of Regents. Arizona Public Media and AZPM are registered trademarks of the Arizona Board of Regents.
The University of Arizona